Reliable self-reporting

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HapiSofi

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I don't believe everything I read about sales of self-published books. Hocking seems reliable; Konrad less and less so. And then there's everyone else.

Is there any downside for writers who inflate their sales reports? The more their books sell, the more interesting they'll sound to potential readers. Who wouldn't want that?
 

Williebee

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Hmm, obvious is you get caught and your credibility goes to hell. You get lambasted on the 'net, perhaps in some media, and you look like an untrustworthy amateur.

That last part may mean no honest house will touch you. As more POD work grows in the industry, it is possible that even a respectable POD/vanity house won't want to do business with you. They want integrity in their numbers for their other customers, after all.

Less obvious, once you start the lie, you have to keep doing it. Otherwise your next opus looks like a failure.
 

kaitie

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But how could you get caught? It's between you and Amazon, and why would Amazon say otherwise?

I'm not saying I approve and I do think some people inflate numbers, but is there any real way to find out one way or the other?
 

Scribhneoir

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Is there any downside for writers who inflate their sales reports? The more their books sell, the more interesting they'll sound to potential readers. Who wouldn't want that?

As a reader, I don't care how much the writer has sold. If it's a book I'm interested in, I'll read it. If it isn't, it doesn't matter if the author honestly admits to 1,000 sales or exaggerates it to 10,000, I still won't be interested.

But if it was a book I was interested in and I found out the author was unethical enough to inflate their sales reports and trumpet the exaggerations across the internet as a form of self-promotion? That author would most likely drop off my TBR list.
 

Old Hack

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The benefits? It makes you seem more successful than you really are and that might well lead to some real success.

The downside is that when you're discovered--and all it would take is for you to upset one person who knows the truth--you'll lose all credibility, and the people who supported you will probably be as vocal in condemning you for your lies as they were vocal in your support.

We've seen how the internet can crush someone in days: Judith Griggs and Cooks Source Magazine comes to mind, as does Lanaia Lee with her plagiarised Atlantis story and her curse-wielding Wiccan agent. There have been plenty of others.

I can see that it would be especially painful if someone who had become some sort of poster-boy or girl for self-publishing were found out to have lied about their sales: but really, everyone who has wrongly claimed to have got his or her head above the parapets in terms of reported sales should be shaking in their boots right now.
 

iRock

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In a similar vein, I receive a lot of social networking interest from writers who advertise themselves as "best sellers." A little digging shows that they're no such thing - unless you count some piddly poll at a self-pub review site, or something equally trite and meaningless.

Be honest, people. You just look foolish when you pull those kinds of stunts. It has the opposite effect than the one you want when the truth is revealed.

Is there any downside for writers who inflate their sales reports? The more their books sell, the more interesting they'll sound to potential readers. Who wouldn't want that?

There's a difference between interesting-good and interesting-bad, that's for sure.
 
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amergina

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I've also seen many, many "award winning" authors with a book or two and some short stories, all self-published. No mention of the name of the actual award they won or what they won it for.

:Shrug:

If you're going to toot your own horn, make sure you're blowing more than hot air.
 

kaitie

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I've also seen many, many "award winning" authors with a book or two and some short stories, all self-published. No mention of the name of the actual award they won or what they won it for.

:Shrug:

If you're going to toot your own horn, make sure you're blowing more than hot air.

This kind of thing is an absolute turnoff for me. Anytime I see bestselling or award winning in a description, I want to see who made it such. I've seen so many people make claims like this that are either outright untrue or very, very exaggerated claims, and whenever I do that's one book going off my list.
 

melodyclark

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I think there's a lot of wishing on the part of old guard folk that "those numbers are fake." Some of them certainly are. The ones I rely upon are those that come with stats from friends. Don't believe any numbers you read on boards. Believe numbers from friends.
 

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I think there's a lot of wishing on the part of old guard folk that "those numbers are fake." Some of them certainly are.

Why do you think that?

I am always thrilled to hear about writers who have succeeded no matter what route they've taken to be a success. What I don't like is when I see writers misleading other writers, or misinforming them, in order to promote their own books or their own publishing company.

And don't you think it's a shame to turn this thread, which has started off nicely and addresses a valid point, into a "trade publishing vs self-publishing" argument? I think we should get back on-topic.

The ones I rely upon are those that come with stats from friends. Don't believe any numbers you read on boards. Believe numbers from friends.

But if your friends got those numbers from unreliable sources you'd be foolish to believe them. What if you read your friends' numbers on boards? And if your friends are promoting their own books, again--consider their numbers carefully.
 

Carradee

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:-?

I'm guessing you haven't heard of the NovelRank site, which tracks (approximate) Amazon numbers? It isn't entirely accurate, but from all accounts it tends to lowball sales figures a bit. (I know it misses some of mine.)

Example: Konrath's title Origin. Over 400 copies sold between Amazon US & UK last month, and over 300 have already sold this month. That's just with Amazon US & UK, so when you combine Smashwords and B&N, I could easily see him selling 500+ copies per month of just that title.
 

Deleted member 42

:-?

I'm guessing you haven't heard of the NovelRank site, which tracks (approximate) Amazon numbers? It isn't entirely accurate, but from all accounts it tends to lowball sales figures a bit. (I know it misses some of mine.)

It's using the Amazon API and getting a dump once an hour.

The problem is that if the server doesn't respond in very quick order, it goes on to the next query.

So no, it's not reliable.
 

Carradee

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It's using the Amazon API and getting a dump once an hour.

The problem is that if the server doesn't respond in very quick order, it goes on to the next query.

So no, it's not reliable.

That does mean it underreports, yes? So those concerned about inflated numbers could at least verify that someone's sales numbers are ≥ the NovelRank numbers.
 

Irysangel

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Novelrank is crap. Sorry. You can look at my self-published book, Mirrorlight. It shows that I've sold 160 of that one this month. According to my Amazon dashboard as of this morning, I've actually sold around 375.

I had a book go free this month and the other books really jumped, sales-wise. I have noticed that there is a massive, massive difference in how many copies are sold when you are at 1k vs when you are at 5k or 20k on Amazon.

This list is the closest approximation to accuracy that I've found so far: http://www.theresaragan.com/p/sale-ranking-chart.html

So when people make inflated sales claims, I automatically check their rankings. Some people are flat-out liars. I saw one that had her book go free about the same time mine did, and she claimed sales of her other books that just were not true in the slightest when compared to her sales ranking and my experiences.

Some aren't lying, though. Some are adding all their numbers together from all the different outlets, and are a little harder to pin down.
 
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That does mean it underreports, yes? So those concerned about inflated numbers could at least verify that someone's sales numbers are ≥ the NovelRank numbers.

It means that the numbers are completely unreliable.

It means that for a given title's rank you have no idea if that number was true at 2:15 AM a week ago or today.

And given that Amazon rank is dead easy to game, especially for Kindle, the entire value of Amazon ranking is suspect to begin with.
 

melodyclark

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Old Hack, because the perspective of a lot of people on this particular subforum is anti-self-publishing. I'm not even a self-publisher (though I'm toying with it, just as an experiment), and I can see that. I've lurked here a long time. I can remember the old "you epublished writers are living in dreamland" posts from 2008, too. There is a real neo-Luddite attitude toward everything related to publishing evolution. I don't mean just skepticism, I mean negativity. Even the topic on this particular forum shows that negativity -- it's not a rah-rah forum indeed, it's the reverse.

The people who post here most often aren't primarily epublished or self-published. Your viewpoint is heavily reflected in the attitude here. Why some of you even post on self-publishing, I'm not at all sure, except that some of you seem to need to evangelize a position you want to believe is true, which is pretty much what you guys often accuse the self-publishers of doing. The future scares you, I get that, but you shouldn't hand out false information because you want to believe that, any more than the hot air merchants do.

I've also noticed that, so long as the perspective of extreme skepticism of self-publishing is kept up, everyone is thoroughly happy to let topics derail themselves. As soon as someone voices a different perspective, everyone starts demanding we stay on topic. lol And quite soon I'll have someone come in and say "but you are flaming people!" when I don't know how many self-publishers I've watched be bullied off this board without having their attackers questioned.

I'm foolish? You're foolish to assume I haven't checked my friends' stats. I don't mean their stupid Novelrank or their BS hijacked Amazon ranking. We talk money, like everyone who is a real pro in this field does. I've seen their checks. They show me the money.

I have several friends who make several thousand a year selling books on Amazon. They don't make 50K but they do make 5-10K a year. Some make as much with self-publishing as they do with small press. They also do a LOT of promotion. You may not like that, but it remains the case. Had those same people tried to trade market their manuscripts, they'd still be reaching for their sealing sponge on a new stack of envelopes.

Okay, now I'll go away and not post on the topic again. I've spoken my truth - believe what you like. Let the status quo resolve itself. Yeesh.
 

Irysangel

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Perhaps I'm misunderstanding the question? I took HapiSophi's question to be rhetorical. I cannot imagine that there IS a downside to over-reporting your sales. Reporting that you have 2000 sales a week will make people click over to see what you're doing or if your books are amazing.

Modesty has no place in self-promoting, and a lot of books crawl their way up the lists due to self-promoting.
 

Old Hack

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Old Hack, because the perspective of a lot of people on this particular subforum is anti-self-publishing. I'm not even a self-publisher (though I'm toying with it, just as an experiment), and I can see that. I've lurked here a long time.

Others have made that claim before and I've told them the same things I'm about to tell you:

1) If you think a post is inappropriate in any way please use the "report post" button, so that the mods can deal with it.

2) Just because someone questions assertions made about self-publishing doesn't mean that they're anti-self-pubishing.

3) Correcting misunderstandings about trade publishing is not necessarily being anti-self-publishing.

I can remember the old "you epublished writers are living in dreamland" posts from 2008, too. There is a real neo-Luddite attitude toward everything related to publishing evolution. I don't mean just skepticism, I mean negativity. Even the topic on this particular forum shows that negativity -- it's not a rah-rah forum indeed, it's the reverse.
You complain about posts from 2008 and in your next breath, you complain that people here are resistant to change? You do see the irony in that, don't you?

As for the "not a rah-rah forum" bit: there are plenty of rah-rah forums but they tend to support a lot of misinformation and fallacy. By all means prefer them if they're more to your taste.

The people who post here most often aren't primarily epublished or self-published. Your viewpoint is heavily reflected in the attitude here. Why some of you even post on self-publishing, I'm not at all sure, except that some of you seem to need to evangelize a position you want to believe is true, which is pretty much what you guys often accuse the self-publishers of doing.
All of AW is for all of its members. We don't stop self-published members from posting in the bits of AW which are centred on trade publishing; we're not going to stop trade-published members from commenting in the Self-Publishing section. Are you saying we should hand out permission slips depending on how people have published? How about we don't let unpublished writers post anywhere? We only let agents post in the Ask The Agent section? This could revolutionise the whole of AW!

The future scares you, I get that, but you shouldn't hand out false information because you want to believe that, any more than the hot air merchants do.
You seem very keen on telling me that I'm scared, just because you disagree with me. This, from another thread today:

OldHack, what I said is very simple ... there are more people making money as writers.

{snipped}

I think a lot of the acrimony being flung at self-publishing (and I can count two negative posts for every positive one in the self-publishing forum) and small press is based on fear. Change is scary. Things are changing.

I'm not scared by self-publishing, and I don't know why you keep on telling me that I am. It increases the possibilities open to writers, and that can only be a good thing. What I don't like is when people spout rubbish and in so doing, they encourage writers to make decisions they might regret. But that doesn't scare me either. It just makes me cross.

I've also noticed that, so long as the perspective of extreme skepticism of self-publishing is kept up, everyone is thoroughly happy to let topics derail themselves. As soon as someone voices a different perspective, everyone starts demanding we stay on topic. lol And quite soon I'll have someone come in and say "but you are flaming people!" when I don't know how many self-publishers I've watched be bullied off this board without having their attackers questioned.
I often ask people to stay on-topic in order to keep discussions on-track, but anyone is always free to begin a new discussion if they like a particular diversion. That's pretty standard procedure not just here on AW, but on every other internet message-board I've belonged to.

As for people being "bullied off this board": if people used the "report post" function more often, or PMed the mods when they could see something going wrong, we might be able to help put a stop to that negative behaviour. And don't forget that what you see out here in the open is often only a small part of what happens at AW.

I have several friends who make several thousand a year selling books on Amazon. They don't make 50K but they do make 5-10K a year.
I have several friends who make hundreds of thousands a year via their trade published books, and several friends who can't keep themselves in Starbucks out of what they earn from their writing. I don't assume that either of the two groups provides a big enough sample for me to make any real judgement on the state of the business: I prefer to rely on proper statistics. I'm foolish like that.

Some make as much with self-publishing as they do with small press. They also do a LOT of promotion. You may not like that, but it remains the case.
I know that. I have friends who have self-published. Why would I not like that they're successful? You're making all sorts of assumptions about me and so far, they've all been wrong. You seem to have a chip on your shoulder, especially when it comes to me.

Had those same people tried to trade market their manuscripts, they'd still be reaching for their sealing sponge on a new stack of envelopes.
"Trade market"? I assume you mean "trade publish". And how do you know they'd not yet be published if they'd chosen that route?

Okay, now I'll go away and not post on the topic again. I've spoken my truth - believe what you like. Let the status quo resolve itself. Yeesh.
Post what you like. So long as you conform to our RYFW rule you're welcome. Although it does seem to me that you would rather be elsewhere; and I do think you need to step back and consider why you're getting so riled up by the threads here.


And now, back on topic, please.

(Ha!)
 
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veinglory

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The people who post here most often aren't primarily epublished or self-published.

My observation is that e-publishing authors are quite over-represented here and self-publishers are, at the very least, a healthy minority (speaking as someone who is both). Maybe you are stereotyping people (what you think they do) based on what they say?
 

Sheryl Nantus

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My observation is that e-publishing authors are quite over-represented here and self-publishers are, at the very least, a healthy minority (speaking as someone who is both). Maybe you are stereotyping people (what you think they do) based on what they say?

I guess we're going to have to start listing all of our writing credits to be allowed to have an opinion on things...

:D
 

Williebee

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Back on topic:

Modesty has no place in self-promoting, and a lot of books crawl their way up the lists due to self-promoting.

How about honesty? The question posed at the top of the thread was about inflating sales numbers, not about being modest or immodest.

I'm not sure that I can buy into the idea that lying can be made ok under the guise of self-promoting .

Comes to that, I'd say it is doing the exact opposite.
 

veinglory

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I think some people do go by the black hat principle of "fake it 'til you make it". But what can you do... I just try and maintain a healthy but non-bitchy skepticism.
 
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ios

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Is there any downside for writers who inflate their sales reports? The more their books sell, the more interesting they'll sound to potential readers. Who wouldn't want that?

I imagine dishonest writers, no matter how they are published--commercially published, small press published, self-published, etc.--will do such things.

But, as Judge Judy says, you don't need a good memory if you are telling the truth*: If the same data changes without explanation (refunds, vendor error, etc.) over a period of time then it is likely the writer is dishonest. If not, then it is up to the person reviewing the data to decide whether to judge if the writer is innocent until proven guilty or guilty until proven innocent.

Personally, I never thought on it much, because I don't expect people to lie, but I imagine an editor or agent given a submission quoting said data as a selling point might want to know. Is there a way to find this out? That being said, is there a way to find out for non-self-published authors quoting such data, too?

Jodi
 
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Irysangel

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I think some people do go by the black hat principle of "fake it 'til you make it". But what can you do... I just try and maintain a healthy by non-bitchy skepticism.


Ha! This. That's pretty much what I meant.
 
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