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Okay, let's see if I can remember everything I wanted to say.
My point was that publishing frequently changes, and while there will inevitably be some major shifts, I don't foresee the kind of epically major shifts that people are predicting. I don't think publishers will go the wayside, and I don't think self-published books will take over. I do think contracts will change and agent roles will change and probably the number of books being sold will change, and almost definitely the kind of opportunities available to authors. I don't know how in each case, but there will be changes.
The point is there are always changes. Will these be bigger and more obvious? Yes, of course. But that doesn't mean that there won't be publishers out there paying authors and hiring editors and cover artists and marketers, etc. I don't think bookstores are going to totally collapse and cease to exist.
I remember ten years ago when POD was the new big hot thing. The same kind of things were often being said. It was going to revolutionize the industry. It was going to allow authors to bypass the gatekeepers. It would give anyone who wrote a book a chance to succeed where they had failed before. None of those changes happened, and POD books became just another tool that's used by publishers that has had little to no influence on the industry or authors. Ebooks will have more influence no doubt, but I seriously don't think there is going to be that big of a monumental shift. I also can envision (and have seen agents and editors envision similar things on blogs) a world where the current self-publishing boon is actually a negative and causes problems for publishing in general, so to say there are changes and those changes are going a particular direction is just impossible to know.
Also, Robin, if I'm correct, you said elsewhere that your goal in publishing was to find self-published authors who were doing well to reprint and that you aren't actually open to submissions. If that's the case, your business model is definitely not the same as the average publisher's.
As for the podcasting comment--yes, you repeated what I said. There are people who have gotten deals. There are people who have self-published and gotten deals, and people who write blogs who have gotten deals, and so on and so forth. That doesn't mean that the industry standard is to not look for authors via normal means or that it happens often. In fact, it's rare. Being able to pick out an example or two does not make something the industry standard.
And yes, for the record, some of the people commenting in this thread are people who have worked in the industry for years in various fields (editors included). And some people, such as myself, are often repeating the things those people have said in other threads and on blogs, etc.
Personally, you won't see me harping on first rights very much because I've heard from some reliable people that it's not as much an issue as other people make of it. What is an issue is sales numbers, and there is no doubt that having had a book previously published makes it more difficult to have it reprinted--period. There are some agents out there who actively suggest that they're willing to pick up such books, but there are others who actively say that they aren't willing to even look at them.
And honestly, you're just being unfair now because you're saying the only experts you're interested in are those who have bought recently previously published works. So, again, you're essentially saying that the only people whose opinions you are willing to look at are those who will support your cause. You say:
I've seen this kind of argument before, and it's not the first time that you've essentially made a statement that the only valid data is that which supports your opinion.
You know what, if everyone on here with the industry experience was saying something I didn't like, I'd listen and believe it whether I want to hear it or not. In fact, I do. I don't want to have a blog. I think blogs are stupid, a waste of time, and mine would suck. But everyone in the world says "You have to have a blog" so I'll have a blog if I ever get published. I don't want to hear it, but I accept it.
I didn't want to hear that my super long book needed to be cut down to be viable in today's market, but I heard it and I did something about it.
I listen to the facts and I am willing to accept viewpoints that disagree with my own when the facts support them. I don't say "Well the only facts that count are those that support my beliefs."
I don't have a dog in this fight. I come on here to learn and be helpful, and anything I suggest or advise is based on information I've learned through years of research. I keep up to date on this and find it fascinating and do believe that this area has potential and that the future is uncertain and just as potentially awe-inspiring as it is terrifying.
What matters here is the facts. We could make decisions on speculation or hearsay or the experiences of a few people who have succeeded against the odds (and people do all the time), or we can try to learn what those odds are and why.
It's up to the person reading the arguments to decide which to follow. I know which ones are more compelling to me and I've explained why. If you don't like that, fine. You can believe what you want. I'm not here to persuade. I'm here to learn and give facts and point out flaws in arguments where I see them. After that it's up to everyone else to make their own choices.
My point was that publishing frequently changes, and while there will inevitably be some major shifts, I don't foresee the kind of epically major shifts that people are predicting. I don't think publishers will go the wayside, and I don't think self-published books will take over. I do think contracts will change and agent roles will change and probably the number of books being sold will change, and almost definitely the kind of opportunities available to authors. I don't know how in each case, but there will be changes.
The point is there are always changes. Will these be bigger and more obvious? Yes, of course. But that doesn't mean that there won't be publishers out there paying authors and hiring editors and cover artists and marketers, etc. I don't think bookstores are going to totally collapse and cease to exist.
I remember ten years ago when POD was the new big hot thing. The same kind of things were often being said. It was going to revolutionize the industry. It was going to allow authors to bypass the gatekeepers. It would give anyone who wrote a book a chance to succeed where they had failed before. None of those changes happened, and POD books became just another tool that's used by publishers that has had little to no influence on the industry or authors. Ebooks will have more influence no doubt, but I seriously don't think there is going to be that big of a monumental shift. I also can envision (and have seen agents and editors envision similar things on blogs) a world where the current self-publishing boon is actually a negative and causes problems for publishing in general, so to say there are changes and those changes are going a particular direction is just impossible to know.
Also, Robin, if I'm correct, you said elsewhere that your goal in publishing was to find self-published authors who were doing well to reprint and that you aren't actually open to submissions. If that's the case, your business model is definitely not the same as the average publisher's.
As for the podcasting comment--yes, you repeated what I said. There are people who have gotten deals. There are people who have self-published and gotten deals, and people who write blogs who have gotten deals, and so on and so forth. That doesn't mean that the industry standard is to not look for authors via normal means or that it happens often. In fact, it's rare. Being able to pick out an example or two does not make something the industry standard.
And yes, for the record, some of the people commenting in this thread are people who have worked in the industry for years in various fields (editors included). And some people, such as myself, are often repeating the things those people have said in other threads and on blogs, etc.
Personally, you won't see me harping on first rights very much because I've heard from some reliable people that it's not as much an issue as other people make of it. What is an issue is sales numbers, and there is no doubt that having had a book previously published makes it more difficult to have it reprinted--period. There are some agents out there who actively suggest that they're willing to pick up such books, but there are others who actively say that they aren't willing to even look at them.
And honestly, you're just being unfair now because you're saying the only experts you're interested in are those who have bought recently previously published works. So, again, you're essentially saying that the only people whose opinions you are willing to look at are those who will support your cause. You say:
Okay fine. So that essentially means that a hundred acquisitions editors could be here saying "I rarely consider previously published work for reasons a, b, and c" and you wouldn't listen to them because the only ones you'll consider experts are those who are buying the books.I'll reiterate that the only "experts" I'm interested in on this particular topic is those who have recently experienced buying or selling of previously published works
I've seen this kind of argument before, and it's not the first time that you've essentially made a statement that the only valid data is that which supports your opinion.
You know what, if everyone on here with the industry experience was saying something I didn't like, I'd listen and believe it whether I want to hear it or not. In fact, I do. I don't want to have a blog. I think blogs are stupid, a waste of time, and mine would suck. But everyone in the world says "You have to have a blog" so I'll have a blog if I ever get published. I don't want to hear it, but I accept it.
I didn't want to hear that my super long book needed to be cut down to be viable in today's market, but I heard it and I did something about it.
I listen to the facts and I am willing to accept viewpoints that disagree with my own when the facts support them. I don't say "Well the only facts that count are those that support my beliefs."
I don't have a dog in this fight. I come on here to learn and be helpful, and anything I suggest or advise is based on information I've learned through years of research. I keep up to date on this and find it fascinating and do believe that this area has potential and that the future is uncertain and just as potentially awe-inspiring as it is terrifying.
What matters here is the facts. We could make decisions on speculation or hearsay or the experiences of a few people who have succeeded against the odds (and people do all the time), or we can try to learn what those odds are and why.
It's up to the person reading the arguments to decide which to follow. I know which ones are more compelling to me and I've explained why. If you don't like that, fine. You can believe what you want. I'm not here to persuade. I'm here to learn and give facts and point out flaws in arguments where I see them. After that it's up to everyone else to make their own choices.
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