Rebuild US-Pakistan relations

abilal

For the first time, there now exists an opportunity to build an enduring long-term US-Pakistan relationship on facts rather than on fiction, according to an analysis published here.

David O Smith writes in Strategic Insights, a publication of the Centre for Contemporary Conflict at Monterey, California, that both governments have subscribed to the common objectives of curbing extremism and international terrorism, building sustainable democracy, preserving the domestic stability of Pakistan, and promoting the vision of a moderate progressive Pakistan as an alternative to more radical schools of thought in the Muslim world. However, the two states have subscribed to common objectives in the past and yet been unable to sustain an enduring relationship because other issues, often unspoken and rarely if ever consciously addressed, poisoned the relationship and caused it eventually to collapse under the weight of its internal contradictions. The “trust deficit” is nothing new, having existed at the very beginning of the relationship and it exists today. Even if the US and Pakistan cannot resolve all their issues completely, they must at least consciously address and manage them at the highest political and military levels if the “ninth act” in the ongoing US–Pakistan drama is to have a positive conclusion, he maintains.

Smith, a former colonel in the US army, writes that doubts have grown over time in Washington about the sincerity of Islamabad’s commitment to the goals of the global war on terror, and, more specifically, concern about the role of its intelligence services in providing covert support and sanctuary to Al Qaeda and Taliban remnants on both sides of the Durand Line. One way to ameliorate many of these concerns and promote mutual confidence in the bilateral relationship might be to build on success and find ways to further advance an already robust defence relationship. But while it is relatively easy to identify ways to enhance various components of this relationship, it is a far more difficult task to solve the most fundamental impediment to a truly enhanced defence relationship, the corrosive and pernicious “trust deficit” on both sides that has always poisoned US–Pakistan relations and continues to jeopardise our agreed strategic objectives.

According to Smith, some in Pakistan’s military establishment, and a large number of senior US military leaders as well, often take a sentimental view and boast that the defence relationship has always served as a useful moderating function and communications back channel whenever political relations have been frosty. Even in the worst of times, when formal military-to-military relations were all but severed, the two militaries continued to cooperate in UN peacekeeping missions, exchanged small numbers of students in military schools, and received each others’ senior defence officials warmly. Unfortunately, an unintended consequence of this process may have been to mask the seriousness of divisive issues. No defence relationship, however warm it may be at the personal level, exists in a vacuum. Therefore, the key to enhancing defence relations must lie in identifying a strategy to alleviate — or at least manage — the “trust deficit” that has always existed as an unspoken part of the larger political relationship, he suggests.
 

Bird of Prey

Benefactor Member
Kind Benefactor
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Jul 2, 2006
Messages
10,793
Reaction score
1,728
Well. the "trust deficit" is vital to overcome. Just talking about this on another thread. Interesting.
 

tourdeforce

Banned
Joined
Nov 29, 2006
Messages
2,000
Reaction score
557
Building a sustainable democracy?

Isn't Pakistan under the dictatorship of a general who seized power in a coup?
 
Joined
Apr 14, 2005
Messages
11,961
Reaction score
2,070
Age
55
Location
NY NY
It's a damn shame that Musharraf has nukes.

If he didn't, that entire Afghan/Pakistan Tribal....hang on...tribal....hold on...:roll: ...sorry...sorry...I'm sorry...these people still have TRIBES....it's 2007...anytime you want to join us in that 2007ness, Tribers, feel free...anyway...hang on..whew...

uh...yes...that entire Afghan/Pakistan Tribal area would be a vaste, if not nuclear, some other type of wasteland.

But he does.

Oh well.
 

Bird of Prey

Benefactor Member
Kind Benefactor
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Jul 2, 2006
Messages
10,793
Reaction score
1,728
More on the "trust deficit," only this time in the Middle East.

Washington seeking to calm Mideast with arms sales: experts2007-07-30 12:36:07.0
US plans to extend huge military aid deals to Middle East and Gulf states is a high-risk attempt to give Saudi Arabia and others the muscle to calm the region's problems, military experts said Monday.


"The failure of the American project for a democratic greater Middle East, confounded in the battle for Iraq, has forced Washington to try to salvage the situation by distributing military aid all over the place," said Joseph Henrotin, editor-in-chief of the French Defence and International Security periodical.

The United States Monday announced new military pacts worth 13 billion dollars for Egypt and 30 billion for Israel over 10 years, plus billions more for Saudi Arabia and Gulf states.

The US plans will "help bolster forces of moderation and support a broader strategy to counter the negative influences of Al-Qaeda, Hezbollah, Syria, and Iran," said US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice in Washington as she and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates set off on a rare joint trip to the region, seeking assurances of help in stabilizing Iraq.

Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states will be aided to "support their ability to secure peace and stability in the Gulf region," Rice said.

Reports have cited potential arms deals with the Saudis and five other Gulf states -- the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, worth least 20 billion dollars.

"These arms sales to Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) States are given by the United States to Saudi Arabia in expectation that it can help calm down the situation in the Sunni world, where it exercises an influence" said Henrotin.

Evoking Iran's "strategic threat" Washington is apparently helping the Saudis to counterbalance Tehran.

In truth, the Belgian expert said, the more immediate US objective is to "dissuade Riyadh from covertly aiding Sunni extremists against Iran and its allies in Syria and the Shiite Lebanese Hezbollah.

"Those same Sunni extremists could also turn against the United States," Henrotin added.

At the same time Washington is reinforcing the Israelis to ease fears which arise there every time Arab nations receive US military aid while at the same time "calming Iranian fervour for a nuclear arsenal," he added.

It is a complicated balancing act, added Henrotin, with the US supplying all its allies at the same time "in the hope they will not turn them against each other."

Ruprecht Polenz, chairman of the German parliament's foreign affairs committee, fears the balancing act won't work.

"If you add more explosives to a powder keg, you increase the risk and do not make the region more secure," said Polenz, a senior figure in Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrat party, said in an interview in the Frankfurter Rundschau daily on Monday.

He added the warning that the message the United States hoped to send to Iran with the weapons deal could backfire, leading Tehran to step up its own arms drive.

Christopher Pang, head of the British Royal United Services Institute's Middle East programme said the US "has used the same tactics before of arming those they hope will keep a perceived threat in check."

"The risk of course is that it provokes an arms race in the region," he added.

Such fears were shared by Caroline Pailhe, a researcher at the Brussels-based peace and security research group GRIP.

"In a region where energy reserves play an important role, it is always dangerous to give certain players more arms," she said.

"Due to the instability of the regimes involved, the policy could one day rebound on the Americans," she added, recalling that the West had previously aided the Iran at the time of the Shah, Saddam in Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan.

Yossi Melman, a defence specialist for the Israeli Haaretz newspaper put it in these terms: "Who knows what could happen in Saudi Arabia? Today it is the House of Saud. Tomorrow it could be the House of Bin Laden."

AFP 301729 GMT 07 07

Insanity in Washington.
 

dclary

Unabashed Mercenary
Poetry Book Collaborator
Requiescat In Pace
Registered
Joined
Oct 17, 2005
Messages
13,050
Reaction score
3,524
Age
55
Website
www.trumpstump2016.com
I like the subliminal "UN" in that post. They're the real enemy.