Okay, the last two days I've spent far too much time over at https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries reviewing the COVID-19 death toll numbers.

U.S. deaths have been doubling every 3-4 days since March 1. We're at 1,037 as of this morning. By my estimate, if social distancing doesn't start flattening the current death curve, U.S. will have 25k dead from this thing by Easter. And then it starts to really jump.

Please, someone, tell me I've done the math wrong. Or that I'm misunderstanding how these things work.