Latest Newsweek Poll - Obama Leads by 15

Status
Not open for further replies.

clintl

Represent.
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Feb 12, 2005
Messages
7,611
Reaction score
603
Location
Davis, CA
http://www.newsweek.com/id/142465

As has been pointed out before, polls at this stage of the election don't necessarily mean much. But since people like to keep track of them, the latest Newsweek poll shows a big bounce for Obama, giving him a 51-36 lead over McCain.
 

blacbird

Super Member
Registered
Joined
Mar 21, 2005
Messages
36,987
Reaction score
6,158
Location
The right earlobe of North America
The RealClearPolitics site, linked by Haskins, is by far the best source of polling info I know of on the net. Way thorough and straightforward. Plus a very well-designed site. It was the source of the Democratic delegate count info I was posting during the primaries. Newsweek's numbers do indeed look anomalous. Obama's generally been posting about a 4%-5% polling average margin over McCain ever since the issue with Clinton was settled.

Now, if in a few days some of the other polls show a similar uptick, then they become of interest. Meantime, I'll regard the Newsweek numbers as an anomaly.

caw
 

rugcat

Lost in the Fog
Kind Benefactor
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Sep 27, 2005
Messages
16,339
Reaction score
4,110
Location
East O' The Sun & West O' The Moon
Website
www.jlevitt.com
How do you suppose the country would react were Obama to win the popular vote, but McCain were to capture the electoral vote and thus the presidency -- not a far-fetched possibility by any means.

In 2000, people were simply bemused. Would it be any different if it happens again?
 

blacbird

Super Member
Registered
Joined
Mar 21, 2005
Messages
36,987
Reaction score
6,158
Location
The right earlobe of North America
It would depend to some extent on the margin of the popular vote, and certainly on any potential voting anomalies, such as we witnessed in 2000 in Florida. But if Obama should win the popular vote fairly large, and McCain should eke out a 1-vote electoral margin the way Bush did in 2000, I venture we'd be in for some real public anger, much more vigorous than in 2000. Not to mention what such a thing would do to our already low popularity abroad. It would hamstring any McCain Presidency in pretty severe ways, at least at the beginning, when we could least afford it. I really wouldn't want to see something like that. Let's really hope that doesn't happen.

caw
 

William Haskins

poet
Kind Benefactor
Absolute Sage
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Feb 12, 2005
Messages
29,099
Reaction score
8,847
Age
58
Website
www.poisonpen.net

kuwisdelu

Revolutionize the World
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Sep 18, 2007
Messages
38,197
Reaction score
4,544
Location
The End of the World
How do you suppose the country would react were Obama to win the popular vote, but McCain were to capture the electoral vote and thus the presidency -- not a far-fetched possibility by any means.

In 2000, people were simply bemused. Would it be any different if it happens again?

I'm still angry about 2000. I'd be...angry beyond belief if it happened again. As I've been saying, the electoral college is outdated and has got to go.
 

Libbie

Worst song played on ugliest guitar
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Apr 23, 2007
Messages
5,309
Reaction score
1,094
Location
umber and black Humberland
I don't take polls too seriously. It's too easy for pollsters to manipulate the results. Still, I wouldn't be shocked to learn that Obama truly is more popular than McCain if there existed some less-fudge-able way of measuring such a thing.
 

johnnysannie

Banned
Joined
Feb 22, 2005
Messages
3,857
Reaction score
435
Location
Tir Na Og
Website
leeannsontheimermurphywriterauthor.blogspot.com
How do you suppose the country would react were Obama to win the popular vote, but McCain were to capture the electoral vote and thus the presidency -- not a far-fetched possibility by any means.

In 2000, people were simply bemused. Would it be any different if it happens again?

I wasn't bemused nor were many other people.

With the current situations Americans are facing - high gas prices, soaring inflation, extreme weather events, and such - if a debacle like 2000 occurs again, I think people will be much less complacent and far more ready to rabble rouse.
 

William Haskins

poet
Kind Benefactor
Absolute Sage
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Feb 12, 2005
Messages
29,099
Reaction score
8,847
Age
58
Website
www.poisonpen.net
if a debacle like 2000 occurs again, I think people will be much less complacent and far more ready to rabble rouse.

r1883463487.jpg
 

William Haskins

poet
Kind Benefactor
Absolute Sage
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Feb 12, 2005
Messages
29,099
Reaction score
8,847
Age
58
Website
www.poisonpen.net
interesting tidbit about this poll:

Democrats (including Democrats in the media) are unhappy the presidential race is within five points, so they're eager to find wider polling margins than that. Yahoo! readers saw this headline at the top of the news on Saturday morning: "Obama widens lead over McCain by 15 points in latest poll."

It was Reuters reporting on a Newsweek poll.

As the reader should suspect, the poll questioned more Democrats than Republicans: 231 Republicans to 324 Democrats, plus 307 independents.

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/tim-graham/2008/06/21/yahoo-hypes-newsweek-poll-15-point-obama-lead

i would say mccain did pretty damn well considering there were 100 fewer republicans polled than democrats.
 

MattW

Company Man
Super Member
Registered
Joined
Dec 14, 2005
Messages
6,326
Reaction score
855
That can't right... the media is trying to keep Obama down, he's an underdog and an outsider.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.